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^^^^ That is my observation as well.
A highly competitive chapter at such a campus would obviously be even higher. A way to get an idea would be to look up the median high school GPA of incoming students. Most schools have this on their website, but is also on wiki or Princeton Review websites. Some schools have this listed as the "middle 50%" - i.e. 25-75%. If you are below that range - you probably are overcommitting if you join a sorority as a freshman. If you are not at least in the middle of that - you might be looking at cuts from those chapters with higher GPAs.
There are are always exceptions. There may be some reason you had a tough time in high school. That's where a good letter of recommendation can help you.
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