Survivor: Samoa

[AlphaFrog]

Originally Posted by SydneyK

It'll be interesting to see Shambo next episode. She was just as blindsided as John was! I can see why Russell (and particularly Dave) wanted John gone, but I thought Jaison was right on the money with regard to his assessment of what that would do to the numbers - taking John out before Dave will likely send Shambo straight to the other side (again).

She won't go back to "the other side", because look who is there: Dave & Monica - who she can't stand, and Brett - who we have no idea about, since he's never really been on much. Plus, that's still a 4-4 tie.

If Jaison or Mick makes a big move next week and gets rid of Russell, that would probably win it for them - however, it would have to be a BIG blindside, because he's still got an idol, and they'd have to do it without Shambo, because I don't think she would keep her mouth shut, even if Russell didn't do what she wanted last week. Natalie is also too loyal to Russell, so it would have to be Mick, Jaison, Dave, Brett & Monica.

I also have to say that I think Jaison made the right move at the immunity challenge, moving up earlier, and therefore supporting less weight throughout the duration of the challenge, rather than waiting until he was almost spent to use it. I was extremely impressed with Natalie hanging in until almost the end.

[ASTalumna06]

Originally Posted by AlphaFrog

She won't go back to "the other side", because look who is there: Dave & Monica... and Brett

If Jaison or Mick makes a big move next week and gets rid of Russell, that would probably win it for them... they'd have to do it without Shambo... it would have to be Mick, Jaison, Dave, Brett & Monica.

I was extremely impressed with Natalie hanging in until almost the end.

This scenario might be devastating for Mick and Jaison (at least for this upcoming week). If they get rid of Russell, and alienate Natalie (and possibly Shambo), it will put them way behind in the numbers game.

Even if they team up with Dave, Monica and Brett to eliiminate Natalie and Shambo the following two weeks, it will still be 2 Foa Foas to 3 Galus.

I think they need Russell in order to eliminate one more member of Galu, and then they can start to think about getting rid of him.

I do wonder if they know about Natalie's loyalty to Russell, though. I've been very impressed with her in the last few weeks. Between the rat and this immunity challenge, she is proving to be a much stronger player than I originally thought she'd be.

[ASTalumna06]

Two tribal councils next week!

[AlphaFrog]

Originally Posted by ASTalumna06

Two tribal councils next week!

The finale is on Sunday - I was wondering how they were going to get the numbers down that fast.

[MysticCat]

Originally Posted by ASTalumna06

I think they need Russell in order to eliminate one more member of Galu, and then they can start to think about getting rid of him.

I wonder if they'd want to get rid of him. It appears there are going to the three in the final. If you want to be in the final three, you want one of the people there with you to be Shambo. I'm not so sure but what Russell might not be the other one to take.

Yeah, there'd be some risk involved there. As more and more former castaways arrive at the Ponderosa, compare notes and see how Russell played all of them, one of two things will happen: either they'll admire it or they'll hold it against him big time. It's hard to tell at this point whether they have any idea about things like emptying canteens, but if they do, that won't help him.

To be honest, I can't tell whether anyone is really thinking about how they'll be seen by the jury.

It'll be interesting.