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Old 12-24-2008, 12:01 AM
deepimpact2 deepimpact2 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nittanyalum View Post
Just to pop back in here, my understanding of Occam's Razor is that when there are two competing theories that reach the same prediction, the simpler one is better, right? So how is saying that Bristol is the mother the theory in conflict with Occam's Razor? Isn't that the simpler explanation, versus all of the explanations Sarah's ahd to make and taking down of pictures and absence of video, photos and records of all those months and events? Not to mention the appalling series of events she recounted the day she says she gave birth. To me, the story built around Sarah's pregnancy is much more in conflict with Occam's Razor than that her daughter got knocked up and had a kid in April.

One of the more interesting things I read today in my hour-plus-google-fest on the subject is that Bill McAllister, a former Anchorage TV reporter (who, interestingly, was later hired as the Governor's communications director), was quoted saying that the governor had approached him in the early spring and asked if he'd been hearing rumors about Bristol being pregnant because they weren't true. This was before Palin had announced her pregnancy.

Why is it unthinkable that a conservative governor of an evangelical Christian bend who is outspoken on abstinence, no birth control and anti-choice would be motivated to conceal the pregnancy of her teenage daughter? I personally find that much more believable than that the same right-wing, pro-life, showing-she-can-do-it-all politician wouldn't have been trumpeting her 5th pregnancy at the ripe, healthy age of 43 and that her baby would be special needs and they made the pro-life choice because that's the right thing to do and aren't I a great example for all the young women of Alaska and America? Here I am, a successful, working Mom, I'm married and I'm with child, I'm doing all the right things in the right order, listen to what I have to say because I walk the talk I talk.

I'm still not saying I'm 100% on the "It's Bristol's baby!" bandwagon, but I am saying that I disagree with all those saying it's not her case to prove. Baloney. Not with the high-stakes political game she was trying to play. You want people to shut up and stop "spreading rumors"? Produce a birth certificate. Produce a hospital record. Produce your own doctor, for heaven's sake. Who, by the way, is a family practitioner, not an OB/GYN. So a 43-year-old with a high-risk pregnancy and a special needs child was not referred to a specialist, but instead relied on her regular family doctor to give her prenatal care and deliver a child that might have needed special attention as soon as he was born? AND she won't make a definitive statement that she delivered the governor's baby in April? The hospital didn't make an announcement that the governor had chosen their facility to have her baby? No birth announcements or a family photo in the recovery room after the 5th blessing had arrived?

Just saying -- there'd be no Occam's Razor in play if Palin had just taken the smallest effort to prove the theory leading to her conclusion.


ETA: came across this picture and thought, huh, don't see many 18-year-old-guys kissing their girlfriend's little brother like this too often:

Well said.
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