Quote:
Originally Posted by darling1
i think that because mccain has a lot of widespread appeal reaching alot of moderate folks, obama may have a tough time. the fact that we are still in a war still may be a large enough factor to pull folks toward mccain.
both candidates can unify this country. it will be pretty close.
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time will indeed tell, but look at the factors already in play:
In their respective primary races, D primary voters are outvoting their R counterparts by large margins. I think I read in the Wisconsin primary, Obama received more total votes than McCain and Huckabee combined did in the R primary. ...separating out what it means for the individual popularity of a candidate, particularly if the D primary ends within a few weeks or so, these trends seem to indicate that Democrats are more enthusiastic, and perhaps more likely to show up at the polls in Nov.
Both Obama and McCain will battle for independents. We can all guess about who'll win that. However at this relatively late date, McCain still has a lot of disaffection with the conservative base of his party. They will likely come back to him by November, but who can say in what numbers? particulary if he's in a pitched battle with Obama for independents. McCain is in the weakest position I've seen a Rep. candidate enter the fall election in quite a while.
What decides elections is, of course, a home-by-home decision, but it appears the economy and Iraq will be the dominant issues. Neither of which bode well for Repubs at present.
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