Kevin and Ronaldo -
I truly appreciate the civil and informative dialogue (minus the Rats). It's refreshing to see people actually discuss ideas in a substantive way.
Kevin mentioned that he expected Biden to win so I wanted to offer a different perspective. By way of background, I'll give this.
Two weeks before the last election, I publicly predicted Trump would win. Not on a whim, but because I spent the better part of a month really digging into all the information I could find. I had come to that conclusion, but when Michael Moore basically said what I was thinking I knew I was probably right. We are polar opposites in nearly every way, but he had observed the same things I had. This was a big switch for me to come to this conclusion because I had not even taken Trump's candidacy seriously in the beginning.
My husband was convinced about Trump fairly early on because he noted that Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, and Trump were consistently getting 70% of the primary votes. All three were change candidates.
I strongly believe that as of today Trump is on track for a landslide victory for multiple reasons. I came to this conclusion because I take in a lot of information and look for patterns. I'm a big picture person so I analyze and synthesize information constantly. I notice things that most people never see and see the various ways they are connected. It's just the way I'm wired.
These are the reasons I see a landslide for Trump (in no particular order). None of these are enough to push him over the top again on their own, but put together I think they show a big picture win for him.
Trump will have lost almost no one who voted for him last time. People who voted solely because of the Supreme Court feel validated.
Trump will pick up a significant number of Conservatives and Christians who were uncertain and didn't take a chance on him so they voted third party or didn't vote for President. He will have met their criteria this time in terms of issues that are important to them.
Trump has a 90%+ approval rating with Republicans
The Walk Away Movement represents a significant number of formerly dependable Democrat voting blocks (minorities, gays, etc.)
The Blexit Movement
Other former Democrats with strong Youtube and social media followings who have become vocal Trump supporters such as Dave Rubin, Karlyn Borysenko, Tim Pool, etc.
The DNC released no polling results after their online convention
Support for BLM, Inc. has dropped dramatically since summer to only around 39%. They also recently scrubbed their website of a substantial number of Far Left and anti-family beliefs/policies leading me to believe that the DNC realized via polling numbers this was hurting them
Increasing numbers of people speaking out against all topics related to white fragility, anti-racism, etc. which was not happening just four to six weeks ago
Homeschooling has doubled this year. Not school from home, but legitimate homeschooling.
School choice is becoming a front burner issue for more people now that they have peeked behind the curtain of public education as it currently exists.
Many people are now fully aware of the existence of critical race theory and what it means
There are now 5 million new gun owners in 2020
Stony Brook professor, Helmut Norpoth, is predicting a Trump landslide. He correctly predicted Trump's last win.
Trump has made major inroads with the black community. In the past it was said that if a Republican could get 15% of the black vote, the Democrats could not win. I think Trump is on track to get much more than 15% of the black vote.
The combination of China - NBA - coronavirus - human rights abuses in China - Hong Kong - medical supply chain issues means many people would choose Trump to deal with China over Biden
Most people do not believe that the USA is a racist or evil country no matter how many times talking heads on TV try to tell them that it is
Most people do not believe they are racist nor do they believe their neighbors are racist no matter how many times Robin Diangelo and Ibram X. Kendi tell everyone they are
Riots and violence push people toward law and order
Trump is getting all of the law and order endorsements which means he will be getting the vast majority of those votes
Voter enthusiasm is overwhelmingly for Trump. It was watching Trump rallies streamed on YouTube that in part convinced me he was going to win in 2016.
Re: the streamed rallies on YouTube. In the past, there would be approximately 20k people watching the stream on the independent channel I use to monitor them (Right Side Broadcasting). Lately there have been 95k-120k watching each rally.
Trump is campaigning in Minnesota which means he clearly thinks he can win it
Attacking Amy Coney Barrett's adoption of her children was a big mistake
Kamala Harris is such a liability that they aren't allowing her to take questions. She was so unpopular in her own party that she dropped out before the first primary voting took place. She is incredibly unlikeable by almost any standard.
People have to choose someone to oversee the economy and Trump is more desirable than Biden
We are seeing very little polling information being pushed out which means it isn't favoring Biden
Many Trump supporters, Conservatives, and Republicans have openly admitted they will not answer a polling call or will lie.
That's my list. These are observations so take them for what they are worth. I'm not going to defend any of them since they are simply observations. People can choose to disagree if they are important or not. At this moment, it's a Trump landslide. The media is not helping by lying about this.
And speaking of Amy Coney Barrett, I wrote a piece on my website about how I think wokeness has the potential to damage NPC sororities. I've mentioned some of this before in discussions here, but when I saw the Kappa Delta Facebook meltdown over Barrett I decided to finish a post I had started. I'll share the link if anyone wants to read it.
My two cents. Your mileage may vary.
Breaking Our Bonds: How Wokeness Will Destroy National Panhellenic Conference Sororities
Hybrid Mode
