I think a key question to ask yourself is would you be more upset not making an attempt and then wondering what if? Or would you be more upset, if you didn't get a bid?
Putting yourself out there with the risk of rejection isn't an easy thing to do. Regardless of these outcomes in life, both good and bad, it allows people the opportunity to learn and grow through it.
I realize you might not be getting the "expert advice" you are looking for, but this is one of those situations where there are so many variables. And frankly I think the CG community in general would be doing you a disservice by blowing smoke.
Good luck in making the choice that is best for you.