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It's economics too. Running a large house and paying for things like insurance at these big schools is expensive. Twenty fewer members doesn't sound like a lot, but it can make an economic impact, especially because the other members have to pay more. You can't get too complacent about staying under total, especially when almost everyone else is significantly above it. It only takes one or two recruitments of missing quota by only a few to start a chapter in the death spiral. Missing quota seems to work in a geometric progression and pretty soon you can have a half empty house and be that chapter during recruitment.
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