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Old 04-28-2008, 02:07 AM
cheerfulgreek cheerfulgreek is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by couggirl View Post
IMovies like Outbreak scare me. I know it is fictional, but the though of something spreading so fast and we as a society have so little control over what is going on just plain freaks me out.
I agree, but I think people would be more freaked about the virus itself. What would totally freak me out is how it would effect our everyday living. See, I'm thinking about how all the companies that provide the critical infrastucture of modern society like energy, transport, food, water, telecoms ect. that would face serious problems if key workers fail to show up for work because of the virus. The fact is the best way for people to avoid the virus will be to stay home. But if everyone does this, or if too many people try to stockpile supplies after a crisis begins, like I was saying before, the impact of a relatively minor pandemic could quickly multiply.

I think what the biggest problem is that planners for pandemics tend to overlook the fact that modern societies are becoming ever more tightly connected, which means any disturbance can cascade rapidly through many sectors. For example. Like, what if the power goes off? This is where I think the complex interdependencies could prove extreme total drama. Refineries make diesel fuel not only for trucks but also for trains that deliver coal to electricity generators, which I'm sure don't have a high reserve supply. The coal mines need electricity to keep working. Also pumping oil through pipelines and water through mains also requires electricity. I don't know that much about it, but I do know that making electricity depends largely on coal, and getting coal depends on electricity. On top of that, they all need refineries and key people, and people need transportation, food and clean water. If one part of the system starts to fail, the whole thing could go. If something like this were to happen, we could switch to hydro and nuclear power but we would still have to depend on highly trained staff.
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