Barak Obama...could he be the next President of the US?

[Drolefille]

Originally Posted by AlphaFrog

RIF.



Although I'd still like to know the source.

And even more so, the margin of error

[LionOfJudah]

The telephone poll for the Concord Monitor was of 400 likely Republican primary voters and 400 likely Democratic voters. Maryland-based Research 2000 conducted the poll Dec. 10-12. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.


Now that we have established that point. What does this mean? Does that mean that the naysayers were wrong to assume that because he was so "young" and black that he could never be real contender in the race for the country's highest office?

It has been insinuated that if the election was help today a democrat would win over a republican in the race for president. Now, with that said, does that mean Barack has a legitimate shot at the Presidency?

[AlphaFrog]

I think someone saying that they would vote for him on the phone, and that person ACTUALLY putting his name on the ballot are two different things. I still don't think he's going to make it.

[Drolefille]

Originally Posted by LionOfJudah

The telephone poll for the Concord Monitor was of 400 likely Republican primary voters and 400 likely Democratic voters. Maryland-based Research 2000 conducted the poll Dec. 10-12. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.


Now that we have established that point. What does this mean?

Well the reason I asked is because essentially Clinton and Obama are tied for the lead. The margin of error is greater than the difference between the candidates in the polls.

Does that mean that the naysayers were wrong to assume that because he was so "young" and black that he could never be real contender in the race for the country's highest office?

It has been insinuated that if the election was help today a democrat would win over a republican in the race for president. Now, with that said, does that mean Barack has a legitimate shot at the Presidency?

I think he's been, and still is, a serious contender and has a serious chance. But Iowa's caucus system is weird and can lead to surprising results. I think the early primaries will tell the tale. If it's a close race or if Obama wins even one it'll solidify his run.