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Old 11-17-2008, 10:57 PM
Tinia2 Tinia2 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2008
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For Obama, Will Familiarity Erode Contempt?

Just read this article on 328. Interesting read:
For Obama, Will Familiarity Erode Contempt?
I've been playing around with the same exit poll data that Pollster.com's Charles Franklin has been looking at, on the percentage of the white vote received in different states by John Kerry and Barack Obama, respectively. Franklin has identified a correlation between the percentage of voters in a given state who are black and the share of the white vote that Obama received: essentially, the blacker the state was, the fewer whites voted for Obama. This correlation existed for John Kerry too, although it's a bit stronger for Obama:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/...ity-erode.html
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