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11-01-2004, 10:29 PM
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Election analysis at Princeton
What do you guys think of this guys statistical methodology?
http://election.princeton.edu
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11-01-2004, 10:51 PM
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Verrrrrrrry innnnnnnnnteresting.... we'll see what really happens tomorrow!
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Causa latet vis est notissima - the cause is hidden, the results are well known.
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11-01-2004, 11:02 PM
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I think those stats are based on nearly all undecided voters braking for Kerry. Bill O'Reilly actually had the head of the study on his show last week. It was very interesting and we will see come election day.
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11-01-2004, 11:06 PM
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I will say one thing and this is entirely anecdotal, as a normally undecided I will be voting for Kerry. And i wouldn't even bother to show to vote at all if it wasn't for a negative reaction to Bush's support of the Patriot Act and further similar measures.
So at least in my case he was right, I am someone that wouldn't normally go to the polls if it wasn't for a strong negative against the president and my vote will be for the challenger.
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11-02-2004, 10:57 AM
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Pretty interesting stuff. It'll be instructive to see how this stands up in the light of final figures.
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11-02-2004, 11:51 AM
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Quote:
Originally posted by James
I will say one thing and this is entirely anecdotal, as a normally undecided I will be voting for Kerry. And i wouldn't even bother to show to vote at all if it wasn't for a negative reaction to Bush's support of the Patriot Act and further similar measures.
So at least in my case he was right, I am someone that wouldn't normally go to the polls if it wasn't for a strong negative against the president and my vote will be for the challenger.
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I have several co-workers in their mid to late 30's who have never EVER voted before but who voted this morning, in support of the challenger. Granted, those three don't represent the whole population, but they're the only ones I knew who didn't vote before and are voting this time.
Dee
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11-02-2004, 11:56 AM
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Very interesting.
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11-02-2004, 02:32 PM
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Re: Election analysis at Princeton
Quote:
Originally posted by James
What do you guys think of this guys statistical methodology?
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It's better than The Princeton Review.
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