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12-12-2008, 12:28 PM
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: but I am le tired...
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Not to mention that many of the unemployed are not going to take being unemployed lightly.
Which results in a flooding of the employment pool, limiting opportunities for people who are ALREADY unemployed.
I'm not quite as concerned because I'm working with a different skillset - but it's going to be harder to find work "just to get by" - retail, factory, etc., which I am totally not above doing if my situation becomes dire enough. When my savings run out, if I haven't got a job yet, you can bank on me going back to retail. I just hope the jobs are there when I do (although with the economy/rising unemployment I don't think they will be).
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12-12-2008, 03:02 PM
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Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Who you calling "boy"? The name's Hand Banana . . .
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Additionally, let's consider for a moment the message this sends going forward: if you are large enough that the fallout from your industry's collapse will have to be subsidized by the American taxpayer, there is no incentive to reduce risk or include controls to prevent massive collapse, each of which would ultimately eat into profits (providing further disincentive).
Do you really get one 'free' collapse before you're forced to insert controls to prevent MysticCat and epchick from having to pay your bills, sloughing through massive future debt because risk/reward ratios didn't need to care about the risk?
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12-12-2008, 03:14 PM
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Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: New England
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KSig RC
Additionally, let's consider for a moment the message this sends going forward: if you are large enough that the fallout from your industry's collapse will have to be subsidized by the American taxpayer, there is no incentive to reduce risk or include controls to prevent massive collapse, each of which would ultimately eat into profits (providing further disincentive).
Do you really get one 'free' collapse before you're forced to insert controls to prevent MysticCat and epchick from having to pay your bills, sloughing through massive future debt because risk/reward ratios didn't need to care about the risk?
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This is one of my larger fears about all of this. It seems a lot of the trouble has come about through poor risk analysis, in terms of investments, mortgages, etc. Continuing a trend of bailouts across all industries would seem to shift the whole risk-benefit analysis.
Plus, I question the government's ability to step in and exercise management, even through a purportedly-savvy "car czar."
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12-12-2008, 07:52 PM
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: 77 square miles surrounded by reality
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KSig RC
Additionally, let's consider for a moment the message this sends going forward: if you are large enough that the fallout from your industry's collapse will have to be subsidized by the American taxpayer, there is no incentive to reduce risk or include controls to prevent massive collapse, each of which would ultimately eat into profits (providing further disincentive).
Do you really get one 'free' collapse before you're forced to insert controls to prevent MysticCat and epchick from having to pay your bills, sloughing through massive future debt because risk/reward ratios didn't need to care about the risk?
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I can't believe this, but I might actually be agreeing with KSig RC here.
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12-12-2008, 08:40 PM
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GreekChat Member
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Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Who you calling "boy"? The name's Hand Banana . . .
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KappaKittyCat
I can't believe this, but I might actually be agreeing with KSig RC here.
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Ha - I'd bet we agree on the vast majority of issues (I'm much more of a pussycat than you probably imagine), and disagree more on the presentation, but I strongly think this is an angle lots of people are ignoring, so it's good to get some "+1s" on this. I mean . . . AmEx is changing over to a bank after decades of resisting disclosure, just to get in on the money grab. It has to stop somewhere, right?
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12-12-2008, 11:49 PM
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: a little here and a little there
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KSig RC
Do you really get one 'free' collapse before you're forced to insert controls to prevent MysticCat and epchick from having to pay your bills, sloughing through massive future debt because risk/reward ratios didn't need to care about the risk?
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Hey hey hey....wait a minute!!! lol. Why me?? jk. I hope I don't have to pay anyone's bills, I don't have a job, I can't even afford to pay MY bills! lol
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12-13-2008, 01:37 PM
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Atlanta area
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Can I ask some dumb questions? How/why is the failure of the latest deal being assigned to Republicans, particularly southern Republicans? Certainly, the outcome most reflects their sentiment, but if you look at the composition of the vote and the Senate, it looks pretty much like a Republican breakdown, if you assume that Republicans' logical role would have been to oppose the bill.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/congress_autos
(read the whole article for the Republicans block angle, but here's the vote breakdown)
"The Senate rejected the bailout 52-35 on a procedural vote — well short of the 60 required — after the talks fell apart. Just 10 Republicans joined 40 Democrats and two independents in backing it. Three Democrats sided with 31 Republicans in opposition. Reid also voted "no" for procedural reasons."
Is this pretty much just self-serving spin for everyone so that people who want to be seen as pro-union or pro-US automaker can be, even though they didn't deliver any relief, and southern Republicans can spin it as delivering what their constituents wanted as well, even though if you really look at how the actual vote played out, it hardly seems like a Republican success at all? (if you start with 49 GOP members, and you lose 10 and another six or seven don't apparently vote. . . )
(And, hey Democrats, if you start with 48 members and keep them and get them all to vote and pick up 10 GOP votes and two independents, hey, guess what? you're at 60.)
But, apparently according to the media, the GOP only needs 31 people to hold the line to get what they want. I guess the recent Senate elections weren't as bad as reported for the GOP.
Last edited by UGAalum94; 12-13-2008 at 01:52 PM.
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12-14-2008, 12:44 PM
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Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Michigan
Posts: 5,807
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Don't think there's going to be a domino effect?
Campbell-Ewald to Slash 50-200 Jobs
Chevy's Advertising Company May Cut As Many As 200 Jobs, According To Executives
POSTED: Sunday, December 14, 2008
UPDATED: 9:18 am EST December 14, 2008
WARREN, Mich. -- Chevrolet advertising agency Campbell-Ewald will layoff 50 to 200 employees, as General Motors cuts costs.
A company spokesman would not confirm how many jobs would be cut at Campbell-Ewald's Warren branch.
The advertising company is one of Macomb County's largest corporate employers. It also has a branch in Los Angeles.
The spokesman blamed the current state of the economy for the cuts.
As of January 2008, Campbell-Ewald employed 1,300 people.
Copyright 2008 by ClickOnDetroit.com. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
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12-12-2008, 03:06 PM
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Super Moderator
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Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
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Also, let's not pretend that all of these jobs will be lost. That's just unsupportable. Will some jobs be lost? Absolutely. Will some of GM's many brands go away? I'm sure they will. Will there still be Chevrolet and Ford pickups? As our should-have-been VP would say, you betcha.
The present worst-case scenario is that some of the auto companies might be forced into Chapter 11 reorganization. In that, all contracts will be again open to negotiation, and the companies will essentially be able to take the painful steps necessary in order to become solvent again.
Americans will still be buying around the same number of cars, so dealerships will find a way to make it.
Sometimes, due to a number of reasons, businesses do fail, and they should be allowed to do that. Our system of government and economy will not be viable if our major industries, if poorly managed, can always look to the government to bail them out in the event of failure (assuming they're big enough).
We'll be fine. Maybe Detroit won't, but that's the risk a city takes when it puts all of its eggs in one poorly positioned basket.
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12-12-2008, 03:33 PM
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Join Date: Aug 2002
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kevin
We'll be fine. Maybe Detroit won't, but that's the risk a city takes when it puts all of its eggs in one poorly positioned basket.
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This is my biggest concern here. It's like what any financial planner says: DIVERSIFY. Even if you only have two big industries you're dependent on, you can usually weather a storm better than a one-horse town.
You know, maybe people should just move, if the situation in Michigan is that dire. I know it's hard to leave your family and comforts, blah blah blah, but if anyone remembers this thing called the Great Migration, a ton of people left the South to go to cities just like Detroit because of all of the jobs that were available.
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12-12-2008, 05:10 PM
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Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: New England
Posts: 9,328
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Munchkin03
This is my biggest concern here. It's like what any financial planner says: DIVERSIFY. Even if you only have two big industries you're dependent on, you can usually weather a storm better than a one-horse town.
You know, maybe people should just move, if the situation in Michigan is that dire. I know it's hard to leave your family and comforts, blah blah blah, but if anyone remembers this thing called the Great Migration, a ton of people left the South to go to cities just like Detroit because of all of the jobs that were available.
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My hometown (Bristol, CT) has gone through something like that. Most of the local economy was in manufacturing, and when the companies started leaving for cheaper land (and cheaper labor), the city started a downturn. The only thing that really has saved it is that ESPN was started in town and is based there. Without the tax and revenues generated by ESPN, I shudder to think what my hometown would have become.
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12-12-2008, 05:13 PM
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GreekChat Member
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Michigan
Posts: 15,821
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Munchkin03
This is my biggest concern here. It's like what any financial planner says: DIVERSIFY. Even if you only have two big industries you're dependent on, you can usually weather a storm better than a one-horse town.
You know, maybe people should just move, if the situation in Michigan is that dire. I know it's hard to leave your family and comforts, blah blah blah, but if anyone remembers this thing called the Great Migration, a ton of people left the South to go to cities just like Detroit because of all of the jobs that were available.
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It is difficult to move when you have nothing but your house and you can't sell that. It's not about family or comforts. Do you think anybody lives in Michigan for the comfort? Have you ever been here during January? LOL
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12-12-2008, 05:33 PM
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Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
Posts: 18,668
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Ah yes... if you hold on to your Michigan house, its value might increase.
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12-12-2008, 07:28 PM
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Michigan
Posts: 15,821
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I hope the damage to the economy is not as widespread as some analysts claim but I hope even more so that we don't have to find out. The news channels here are reporting that a deal has been made with the White House but details will not be announced tonight.
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12-12-2008, 08:08 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AGDee
I hope the damage to the economy is not as widespread as some analysts claim but I hope even more so that we don't have to find out. The news channels here are reporting that a deal has been made with the White House but details will not be announced tonight.
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I'm totally out of the loop here. What can the White House do if the Senate voted it down?
ETA: Ok, I see that they're talking about using the financial industry money for this purpose. That scares me a little.
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