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It makes a difference if the race is close. But, this same reasoning is why we can say Ohio went Bush, because it became statistically impossible for Kerry to take Ohio with the number of provisional ballots to count and the lead that Bush had over Kerry. If a candidate has won a state by 200,000 votes and there are 5000 absentee ballots, then it is statistically impossible for the absentee ballots to make a difference. If a candidate was only ahead by 500 votes, then it could make a HUGE difference.
It's like when you play euchre, and the other team has already gotten their two points, you just throw in the hand...
Dee
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