Amy Coney Barrett

[bevinpiphi]

I played around on that fivethirtyeight site, entering my own predictions for how I think each state will go....and ended up with an electoral college tie

It really hinges on how just a couple of states fall, for me.

[Benzgirl]

Originally Posted by bevinpiphi

I played around on that fivethirtyeight site, entering my own predictions for how I think each state will go....and ended up with an electoral college tie

It really hinges on how just a couple of states fall, for me.

I only see the Democrats losing one seat to Republicans (Alabama) but the Republicans losing numerous seats to Democrats. Some are still too close to call.

The seats that will definitely flip from Republican to Democrat will be:
- Arizona: Kelly over McSally
- Colorado: Hickenlooper over Gardner
- Special Election Georgia Seat: Warnock over Loeffler and Doug Collins

The seats that will most likely flip from Republican to Democrat:
- North Carolina: Cunningham over Tillis
- Maine: Gideon over Susan Collins

The seats that are a dead heat that could possibly flip from Republican to Democrat:
- Iowa: Ernst and Greenfield are split in the polls
- Montana: Bullock and Daines are equal
- For the other Georgia seat, Perdue deserves to lose to Ossoff after his poor performance in the last debate caused him to withdraw from the final debate and possible insider trading charges pending.

[ComradesTrue]

Originally Posted by Benzgirl

I only see the Democrats losing one seat to Republicans (Alabama) but the Republicans losing numerous seats to Democrats. Some are still too close to call.

The seats that will definitely flip from Republican to Democrat will be:
- Arizona: Kelly over McSally
- Colorado: Hickenlooper over Gardner
- Special Election Georgia Seat: Warnock over Loeffler and Doug Collins

However, in the special election a candidate must receive 50% of the vote or there is a run-off on January 5th. Once Loeffler's and Collins' bases combine forces then it will be a harder road for Warnock.

I agree with the rest of your predictions, though I do think Greenfield will pull it out in Iowa.

[ComradesTrue]

Originally Posted by Benzgirl

I only see the Democrats losing one seat to Republicans (Alabama) but the Republicans losing numerous seats to Democrats. Some are still too close to call.

The seats that will definitely flip from Republican to Democrat will be:
- Arizona: Kelly over McSally
- Colorado: Hickenlooper over Gardner
- Special Election Georgia Seat: Warnock over Loeffler and Doug Collins

However, in the special election a candidate must receive 50% of the vote or there is a run-off on January 5th. Once Loeffler's and Collins' bases combine forces then it will be a harder road for Warnock.

I agree with the rest of your predictions.

[carnation]

Concur with ComradesTrue about Georgia.

[Benzgirl]

Originally Posted by ComradesTrue

However, in the special election a candidate must receive 50% of the vote or there is a run-off on January 5th. Once Loeffler's and Collins' bases combine forces then it will be a harder road for Warnock.

I agree with the rest of your predictions.

Yeah, that Georgia special election is kind of whackadoo.