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Case in point: two chapters at AZ are significantly below total and have been for several years. One chapter has closed and recolonized at least twice; they recruit/do COB virtually year around and have not yet been able to "catch up". It is exhausting to do multiple recruitment events, not to mention new member education programs, and multiple initiations in an academic year. No one wants that for a colony/new chapter.
ADPi recolonized with the full support of the other chapters on campus, started out at (then) total and has been able to make quota every year since recolonizing. I expect the same for AXO, who will recolonize this Fall.
Let me do the math again. Hypothetically speaking: ZTA has 140 next fall, all the other chapters have 170-180. That's a gap of 30-40 members. And with total at 220, they would have to successfully recruit 80 new members, while everyone else needs 40-50. That's HUGE. And a lot to put on a colony.
It's most difficult when total keeps getting raised, due to increased numbers of PNMs. The gap widens and doesn't decrease.
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"One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision." Bertrand Russell, The Triumph of Stupidity
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