FiveThirtyEight.com

[Munchkin03]

Originally Posted by UGAalum94

I also think that people responding to polls may be less likely to admit to supporting McCain while there is so much negative coverage of McCain and Palin rallies and supporters. (This may or may not go beyond whatever Bradly/Wilder effect may exist.)

Wouldn't those people just say they were "undecided," then?

[UGAalum94]

Originally Posted by Munchkin03

Wouldn't those people just say they were "undecided," then?

Apparently not in the cases where they've tracked this stuff in the past, but I don't know really. I think the deal is they give the answer to the pollster that they think makes them look good.

The polls all may be dead-on for all I know, but the next time you are looking at a particular polls results, look for the breakdown of who participated in the sample and see if the breakdown looks right to you. Maybe it is with new registrants, but we probably won't know until election day.