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06-26-2008, 04:26 PM
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We can find case after case, sure - but we still have no idea how this affects the overall point (that sometimes, the arrests are wrongful and invented by the child or put into the child's head by an elder) . . . anecdotes are great, because they get us all riled up over the extreme cases, but they also occlude our minds when we try to figure out just how often the accused is indeed wrongly accused.
Even beyond that, it's true that judges make mistakes - that's why you can vote judges out of office very few years, in most jurisdictions. However, mandatory sentences are a pretty bad idea on the whole, for a variety of reasons:
-First, they tie prosecutors' hands, because mandatory sentences cause problems with plea bargains or scenarios that are "special cases." While we always hear negative things about plea deals, it's selection bias - more options is generally better than fewer when it comes to this sort of thing. No one is going to bargain into a mandatory sentence, and if there's an iffy case (remember the burden in criminal court), the prosecutor would be completely remiss to not get something out of it.
-Second, it's pretty clear after a couple decades of research that juries have difficulty with crimes that have mandatory sentences. You may very well see conviction rates go down as a result, or lesser included charges become more successful. The cure might actually be worse than the current sickness.
-Third, with literally nothing to lose because of a mandatory sentence, defense attorneys are forced to "go for broke" whereas before, they might hedge by seeking a guilty verdict with a reduced sentence. It changes the risk/reward dynamic, and that's exactly what Mr. Fagan was describing in his diatribe.
I think Mr. Fagan's description was pretty on-point, to be honest, but I'm surely coming from a completely different place than someone with children or etc.
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06-26-2008, 05:03 PM
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Interestingly enough, I think one of the sponsors of this bill also was pushing one requiring sex offenders to vote absentee because of the library incident mentioned up thread. His argument was that if a sex offender went to a library to vote there might be a kid around.
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06-26-2008, 09:44 PM
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Interesting discussion. I now see the point Rep. Fagan was trying to make. Thank you to those of you who helped clarify it.
I'm curious, though, why most of the men posting in this thread seem so determined to hammer home this idea of the "invented" victim.
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Originally Posted by Kevin
There are cases where the entire rape scenario was something the child just made up by the child.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KSigkid
What happens if the person didn't do it? What happens if the child made it up?
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KSig RC
sometimes, the arrests are wrongful and invented by the child or put into the child's head by an elder
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Yes, child abuse cases, as well as rape cases involving adults, are often hard to prove. Child rape cases, however, are far more clear and less likely to be invented.
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Originally Posted by MysticCat
Say the guy you're talking about had been held for 20 rather than 4 years. While the specific 6-year-old might have been spared this horrible thing, you can't assume that the longer sentence would keep the offender from raping some other child when he finally got out.
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But he would have had 16 years of fewer opportunities and victims.
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06-26-2008, 09:57 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Leslie Anne
But he would have had 16 years of fewer opportunities and victims.
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I don't mean this in a dick way, but you missed his point entirely.
The point is more likely that if recidivism is such a problem, then locking them up for a mandatory 20 year sentence doesn't SOLVE that problem - in effect, a mandatory sentence is a cop out, because they'll still afterward. Regardless of whether you side with theories of prisons as rehabilitative devices or punitive devices, this mandatory sentence serves neither purpose effectively if the guy relapses afterward.
Viewed in that light, it becomes a quandary - do you lock everyone up for an extended and mandatory period of time, even though some won't perform the act again, and the ones who do won't be fixed (effectively solving nothing but literally "buying time")? Or do you leave it to the judicial system's authority, allowing a few egregious mistakes as noted in this thread?
The answer isn't mandatory sentencing, it's figuring out a better way to diagnose and classify defenders and prevent them from relapsing - and that way is NOT "living >2,000 feet from a church or school"
Last edited by KSig RC; 06-26-2008 at 10:00 PM.
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06-26-2008, 11:28 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Leslie Anne
Interesting discussion. I now see the point Rep. Fagan was trying to make. Thank you to those of you who helped clarify it.
I'm curious, though, why most of the men posting in this thread seem so determined to hammer home this idea of the "invented" victim.
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It's probably mostly men because for whatever reason, men are more likely to be defense attorneys. Men are also more likely to be accused of a sex crime.
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Originally Posted by Leslie Anne
Yes, child abuse cases, as well as rape cases involving adults, are often hard to prove. Child rape cases, however, are far more clear and less likely to be invented.
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Really? What are you basing that on? Read this article (scroll down to the "scandal" section: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jordan,_Minnesota
This one is interesting too: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clevela..._abuse_scandal
Children are HIGHLY suggestible.
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Originally Posted by srmom
Am I mistaken? I thought that once you were convicted of a felony, you lost the right to vote, so this would be moot.
Just checked, it's a state by state thing. In Illinois, you are disenfranchised until after your incarceration is over, then you regain the right to vote in the state.
Interesting what can be learned by googling (for an old lady, who used to have to do research in the library with a card catalog and the dewey decimal system, it is downright amazing  Sorry for the diversion, but it is CRAZY what these computers will do!!!  )
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Yeah, it's state by state and also depends on the offense. Jessica's Law in some states is messing this up pretty badly with the sex offenders. In Massachusetts I believe you can vote as soon as you've exited prison - so including time you're on probation and parole.
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06-27-2008, 12:50 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KSig RC
I don't mean this in a dick way, but you missed his point entirely.
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I don't mean this in a bitchy way, but I think you missed my point entirely.
I wasn't suggesting that mandatory sentences solve the problem. I'm actually not in favor or mandatory sentences at all.
Way to avoid the main point of my post though. My comment to MC was just an afterthought.
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Originally Posted by GeekyPenguin
Really? What are you basing that on?
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18 years of study plus some common sense.
The Jordan article actually does not deal with rape at all (which is the topic of this thread and the topic of my post.) Rape and molestation, within this context, are not one and the same.
All I said was simply that child rape is easier to prove than molestation and other types of abuse. Why? Due to the difference between rape and other types of abuse some very obvious physical evidence makes it easier to prove. Do I really have to spell it out in graphic detail?
Yes, children are highly suggestible. I am NOT in any way suggesting that false accusations do not occur.
** Points that will inevitibly be ignored or twisted are in bold.
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06-27-2008, 07:52 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Leslie Anne
The Jordan article actually does not deal with rape at all (which is the topic of this thread and the topic of my post.) Rape and molestation, within this context, are not one and the same.
All I said was simply that child rape is easier to prove than molestation and other types of abuse. Why? Due to the difference between rape and other types of abuse some very obvious physical evidence makes it easier to prove. Do I really have to spell it out in graphic detail?
Yes, children are highly suggestible. I am NOT in any way suggesting that false accusations do not occur.
** Points that will inevitibly be ignored or twisted are in bold.
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You are being an extreme bitch. What field do you study this in? I worked in the county where the Jordan issues occurred (obviously much later because in 1984 I was kind of busy learning how to crawl) and people were saying "My daddy raped me!" right along with "Random dude down the street who dresses in black touches my naughty bits. This all turned out to be FALSE. There's a book called Nightmares and Secrets by Tom Dubbe that's on the same issue if you'd like to read more about it, but one would think that somewhere in your 18 years of study plus common sense you would have already heard about this. You might also want to look further into the Cleveland scandal.
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06-27-2008, 09:31 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Leslie Anne
I don't mean this in a bitchy way, but I think you missed my point entirely.
I wasn't suggesting that mandatory sentences solve the problem. I'm actually not in favor or mandatory sentences at all.
Way to avoid the main point of my post though. My comment to MC was just an afterthought.
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OK - then what was your point?
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06-27-2008, 10:52 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Leslie Anne
I'm curious, though, why most of the men posting in this thread seem so determined to hammer home this idea of the "invented" victim.
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Not sure what you're implying here...but, at least from my point of view, the discussion seemed to be turning towards a "guilty until proven innocent" angle, which I think is an extremely dangerous way to proceed, no matter what the accusation. We do live in a society where the accused is innocent until proven guilty, which people seem to forget when heinous crimes are involved.
Also, it seemed from your previous posts that you were for mandatory sentences. If not that, then what would be your solution to the issue? Tougher probation guidelines? More post-release programs?
Also, can you cite any literature/etc. on why child rape cases would be easier to prove than other rapes? I mean, maybe the statement makes sense on its own for someone more familiar with studying such things, but I'd never heard that before.
Quote:
Originally Posted by srmom
I bet if you asked the mom of the 6 year old who was raped in the library if she wished the rapist had been in prison that day, she'd say an extremely emotional, "YES".
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I understand what you're saying, but I think that mindset is what drives prosecutors, sometimes, to put anyone in jail, to get some closure. I don't have the exact numbers, and I know that's not how it always turns out, but it happens.
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