Dean was on Meet the Press this morning and he was asked this very question. He said that he believes that the superdelegates will go with the popular vote.
My personal belief is that Obama would be more likely to take Michigan than Clinton. I believe the "get out the vote" push will be much stronger in Detroit if Obama is the candidate. I don't see people making any extra effort to get out the vote for Clinton. Many of my Detroit resident co-workers are already saying that if Obama is the candidate, they are taking off work that day to drive people to the polls. I know, I know, it's anecdotal, but I think I work with a pretty good representation of the general population in Metro Detroit and the city itself. While they, personally, would still vote for Clinton, they will work harder to get Obama elected. I believe Obama would have won the primary in Michigan if he had been on the ballot.
ETA: When the city of Detroit votes in large percentages, the state goes Democrat. So much so, that Republicans haven't even attempted to be Mayor in Detroit in a very long time.
Last edited by AGDee; 04-27-2008 at 03:13 PM.
|