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I do not envy the position he's in. My gut feeling is that he'll let the "process" work, which has Obama winning the nomination because he can then make the process the bad guy and promise to "look at it" for future elections. If Obama doesn't win the general election, the whole party will be at fault on a variety of fronts. The fact that delegates are split based on the popular vote in the primary but it's winner-take-all in the electoral college so ultimately the overall popular vote doesn't matter, makes it difficult for the party to keep people from missing the forest for the trees during primary season.
Because if there are lessons to learn from 2000 and 2004, key states have been the deciding factors in who won the presidency. Hillary has shown she can win those states in a difficult election. Does that mean that Obama would not carry those states if he is the candidate against McCain? No, but it's not a given. He hasn't shown he can win in Ohio, Texas, Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan (not being on the ballot is a footnote in FL & MI, there's arguments he could have/should have to make a showing and a point that he can win there).
Again, I don't envy Dean. I'm betting they let Obama take it if that's the natural course of events, but I won't be surprised -- devastated -- but not surprised, then, if the party once again hasn't gone and bitten itself in the a$$. And then the same isht keeps going on in DC.
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