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Originally posted by PhiPsiRuss
As someone who worked in politics, let me clue you in to something. If a pollster has talent, he doesn't work for a large polling firm like Gallup. He sets up practice, and bills candidates $100,000+ per campaign. I'm sure that whoever is doing the polling for Bush and Kerry is billing out in the million+ dollar range.
What does this mean? All of the polls that are released for public consumption are almost worthless. They're run by recent grads, or by people without the talent to establish a private practice.
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*nod* We went over the research practices of the presidential polls in my Empirical Research class- the sampling of the first-after-the-debate polls are not reflective of the population atlarge. Wait a week and more reliable polls will come out with a larger sample-size that meets more parameters than political affiliation.