Quote:
Originally posted by ladygreek
I think that after the Jack Ryan issue broke and Obama came out so strong at the DNC, the Republicans feel the seat will go to Barak. Thus they don't want to take the chance of harming the political career of any promising IL candidates. So they are using a sacrifical lamb and decided the best bet would be a Black candidate not from IL.
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...maybe, but from what I read/hear, the Illinois R party operation has seen stronger days. I think Obama wins in Nov. but the Rs should have run a stronger candidate. Even in defeat, a disciplined, well-run campaign yields strong name recognition, which can be helpful in later races.
Several successful politicans were defeated in earlier races before winning. Nixon/1960, Reagan/'76 R primary fight, Clinton/defeated as incumbent Arkansas Gov. in 1982, to cite just 3 examples.
Also, incumbents are usually most vulnerable to defeat in their first re-election campaigns. So maybe the candidate who loses to Obama in 04, is in better position vis-a-vis the voters in 2010.
...maybe Illinois' own Political Socrates, TheEpitome1920, will come in here and drop some science on us.
