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I agree with Munchkin. It would be kind of a waste for him to run if he's hoping to get his five percent. There's basically no way he'd get it this year.
As for Bush being happy if Nader runs -- given that people saw what happened last time, I think that anybody who votes for Nader over the Democratic candidate has accepted the fact that their vote is "helping" Bush. In fact, the number of people who decide between Nader and the Dem candidate and ultimately choose Nader will be very small, if it exists at all -- most of the people who voted for Nader in 2000 would not have voted for Gore even if Nader hadn't been there, or if they did they were in states that they were sure would go to Gore. That will be even more true this time around.
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