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Internally (US)- probably nothing. In the end, it's all about local economics.
As for the other internal (Iraq) - 4 possible outcome
1. The rebellion will be disfranchised. Decrease of attack.
2. Consolidation of the rebellion. Since it's no longer "Saddam" attack, people might be more willing to join it.
3. Status quo and eventually democrazation after 10 to 15 years of occupation
4. Worst case scenario - Quick historical background:
Iraq is a totally artificial creation, carved by the Brits out of the remnants of the Ottoman empire. And the Brits had quite a time holding it together (the Shi'ite uprising of the early 1920s was the BIG colonial war they had to deal with right after World War I).
The Ba'athists held the country together by brute force--because that was the only way it could be held together
[Just a Stalin held the USSR together, and Tito held Yugoslavia together, and Ataturk held Turkey together: by crushing any whisper of separatism & smashing any uppity ethnic groups]
And Saddam held the Ba'athists together.
Subtract Saddam, subtract the Ba'athists and what do you get?
Sectarian civil war
It may be not be an event, but, on Tuesday a Sunni mosque in baghdad was attacked. On Wednesday a Shi'ite mosque was attacked. On Friday sermons throughout Sunni & Shi'ite mosques made much reference to these attacks. Perhaps Wahhabi fanatics are organising these attacks. perhaps not.
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Spambot Killer  
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