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One key thing to note is that some women who DID receive bids may decide not to follow through because the chapter that bid them was their third choice and they believe they are too good for that chapter, just as some believe they are too good for the chapters that invited them to preference and decide to drop before pref because of that. In most cases, chapters are allowed to replace those women immediately with whomever they choose, as long as that woman didn't sign a pref card and then didn't accept a bid.
A woman who ends up cut because she is a grade risk (meets the minimum, but not by much) but who knows and is liked by many women in the chapter can get a bid that way.
In spite of the fact that there are women who go to three prefs and sign their bid card including all three chapters, there are also chapters who don't make quota because women they really wanted dropped out of recruitment because those women didn't want to go there. Chapters that don't make quota are probably able to continue to pick up women for a few days at least, even when there is a colonization on the horizon.
I'm speculating, of course. I don't have real numbers or data to base that on, but it is how I usually see it work. I don't work with this particular chapter anymore so I don't have access to any actual numbers anymore.
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