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Nobody can tell you your chances of getting a bid. Obviously, getting invited to rush parties is a good sign, as it means they know you are a sophomore and still want to get to know you. You could send an e-mail now like "Thanks for the invite to XXX event. Unfortunately, I will be in Outer Mongolia all summer, but I can't wait to be in touch when I get back". Then, follow up again when you get back.
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