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People are still originating the vanilla Agency ARMs and Jumbo ARMs but the underwriting guidelines are stricter. Yes there is still risk that people will default just like any committment you make when you borrow money. There is always a chance that someone won't make the payment (even for folks with higher credit scores) for whatever reason. The Credit Score and low DTIs are a gauge that tells the lender if the borrower is most likely to make their payments and prepay the mortgage.
The days of not qualifying on a 30yr Mortgage and getting tossed into an "ARM" are gone. If anyone in the banking world is still originating Hybrid Option ARMs (definition: a mortgage that would allow you to get a 1.00% interest rate for the first three months and then cast into options of either going Fully Am, Interest Only, Fixed, etc that was typically attached to the MTA or COFI index) then the risk is being retained on a balance sheet at the bank and is not going into the securities market. Those types of securities have no liquidity. Yes, prior to the Subprime meltdown if a borrower couldn't get underwritten on a 30yr Conventional they had an option to get into a Hybrid Option ARM which had looser underwriting guidelines to get into a mortgage.
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