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I understand completely why you want to keep both schools confidential. Can you surf through these threads and find someone who can privately counsel you on your chances of gaining membership? I mean, if you're transferring to Alabama, I'd initiate now and take your chances with affiliation. But without knowing the school you're going to and how much we all enjoyed our collegiate experience, not initiating and then not finding a new home would be a serious bummer. I'd take the lesser reputation and hope for the best. But that's only if being a junior is a big hindrance on your new campus.
Have you looked at the NPC Recruitment: Fall 2010 - Spring 2011 thread? It's just numbers but might give you an idea of what recruitment is like there. If everyone took quota, chapters are big, there's no upper classmen quota, you may have a problem on your hands.
I think all of us are glad we aren't put in the same situation. I'm really glad your current sisters are being understanding and supportive.
And as far as the new campus knowing your history, I don't think they WILL know, but I wouldn't keep it a secret either. I might just not tell them which chapter you were in. Your chapter isn't going to tell, so who would? Your national wouldn't because you're not technically a member yet. Your binding agreement becomes void when you no longer attend that school.
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