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I don't think we can believe anything Locke says. Claire's name was on the wall (and the lighthouse dial), and Locke told her it wasn't. So, for him to have said that Kate's name isn't on the wall... well, I think he's just blowing smoke. (Pun intended.)
About Kate... her name was written on the cave walls, but it's been crossed out; it has not yet been crossed out on the lighthouse dial (#51). I'm thinking she is, at the very least, a former candidate. However, since her name has not been crossed out on the lighthouse dial, she might still in the running.
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Never let the facts stand in the way of a good answer. -Tom Magliozzi
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