These two recent threads might help; you can also use the search function effectively and efficiently to find out more information.
http://www.greekchat.com/gcforums/sh...d.php?t=110936
http://www.greekchat.com/gcforums/sh...d.php?t=110944
I point out that you've divulged some personally identifying information about yourself and your friend which would make you both very easy to spot should you pursue de-pledging and then going through recruitment a second time.
No one on GC will be able to give you the specific answers that you seek. Reading your post, it appears that you want to know the outcome of the race before you place your bet. Would that we all had that knowledge or that crystal ball.
Whatever you decide, good luck on your journey.