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Every Chapter can be different. Some may consider your most recent semester GPAs, especially if they really like you. That would provide a good justification to support a request/decision for grade exception status because you have proven you can make the grades. But there are no guarantees.
Frankly I've never heard of a Panhellenic asking a PNM to provide a letter of explanation, but I like the idea. Usually in these types of situations the only recourse a PNM has is for a Rec writer to explain. You have the unique opportunity to tell your story in your own words of how/why one semester is dragging down your cumulative. All you can do is hope they take it into consideration.
As for the minimum GPA for a member to remain active, no that is not always the same as the minimum to be eligible to become a new member. A Chapter may want to raise their GPA ranking. This can't just happen overnight and so a long term plan is developed. Part of that plan may be they will only consider PNMs with a higher GPA than in times past. Plus there's the simple easy cut reason. If there are 500 PNMs and you can only invite back 300, GPA is an easy non-personal cut.
FYI - Actually Chapters may have several "minimums" that can vary: an I/natl minimum to remain active vs a local minimum which may be higher; a minimum to hold an office; for an active to have zero weekly study hall hours or X hours or Y hours; to be active but be on partial or full social probation; or the worst case to be considered for membership cancellation (after more than just 1 bad semester).
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