[AlphaFrog]

Finale tonight! I'm so excited. After everyone kept saying around the merge time that the rest of the season would be boring because the pecking order was firmly establised, I think this has been the best few episodes ever.

Unless Natalie wins immunity (which probably won't happen) and Amanda gets voted out, I think she's got it in the bag, as long as she's learned from her horrible China jury experience. She's got Ozzy & James's vote, straight away. If she can convince Erik to blame Natalie for his dumb move, I think she can get Erik's vote too. I think Eliza and Jason's votes are a bit up for grabs. I have a feeling that Alexis and Natalie will vote for Parverti. Most of the people at realitynewsonline think that Cirie's got a better shot than Parverti, but I think Cirie's too abrasive and won't tell the jury what they want to hear like Parv will.

I still can't believe that either Parv, Amanda or Cirie couldn't see the benefit of taking Natalie and Erik to the jury with them. Even if one of them betrayed their alliance and went that way, I think any of the three of them could beat both Natalie and Erik, hands down. Time and time again, we've seen that good game play and strategic moves win over the person who just merely "didn't piss as many jurors off".