I actually go to UTA, and you'd be surprised how many people on the CAP program end up staying. I'd suggest telling your friend to wait it out and just get to know the guys at UTA.
If he decides to stay, then he's already made some connections when UTA rush rolls around. If he decides to transfer to UT, he can at least say "Hey, I met some of your brothers when I was at UTA" which could work in his favor.
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*does side bends and sit-ups*
*doesn't lose butt*
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