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I just looked online at Weatherunderground and it says you have a 91% chance of it being over 60. To a wedding that was going to be over 60, I'd wear a sundress and a light cardigan. However, I'm from the midwest.
Maybe wear a heavier-weight black skirt (think J.Crew or BR's suiting skirts, boots, and a warner but pretty sweater. You can always put your peacoat on if you need to. Then when it moves inside you can change the boots for heels.
Most outdoor weddings I've gone to have been 20-30 minutes at most, so keep in mind you don't need to bundle too much.
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