My picks this week:
Quote:
Originally posted by KSig RC
san diego
NEW ENGLAND (-5.5) O/U 47.5
|
I'll take SD and the points - the Pats are traditionally EXTREMELY tough in Gillette, and the weather might not be great. The Chargers are a moderate road team, made to look better by a weak schedule last year. However, LT will run RAMPANT on the NE linebackers, and with Harrison out he might set fantasy football records that will never be broken. However, Chad Brown can fill in against the pass, Belichick will come up with something, and the Pats will win.
Remember, though - the Pats NEVER cover. I think the Pats win something like 24-21, and I make money.
Quote:
Originally posted by KSig RC
ind (-7)
TEN O/U 45.5
|
I LOVE home dogs - this game is a tough one, though. I really like TEN to keep it close, and I really don't think this game makes it to the over (46 points total, or better than 24-21). Tennessee has a tough d, but really might not be able to score on the Colts D.
I'll take the UNDER.
Quote:
Originally posted by KSig RC
phi
KC (-1.5) O/U 45
|
Just in case you thought the Chargers pick was stupid, I'll go ahead and take Philly on the road, in what might be a massive game for the Chiefs on the rebound. McNabb's hurt, needs surgery, but will probably play - so let's just move along here and hope I'm right.
Quote:
Originally posted by KSig RC
buf
NO (PK) O/U 39.5
|
I'm not picking anything here, but is there a more dangerous game than this one? I mean, literally anything could happen here- my gut says NO gets beat in the Alamodome, but I'm just. not. sure.
Quote:
Originally posted by KSig RC
nyj
BAL (-7) O/U 31
|
I can't imagine the Jets even scoring in this game, so I'll take BAL even giving a ridiculous td with a horrific offense. God help my picks this week.
Quote:
Originally posted by KSig RC
min
ATL (-6) O/U 44.5
|
Is Minnehaha for real after blowing out the Saints? No. The Saints are really that bad, especially with injuries etc. ATL's traditional downfall (bad secondary) just won't be exploited enough by the Minnesota receivers (Burleson is hurt), and I'm 100% sure the Falcons can run on the Minnesota D. I'll take ATL and give the points.
Well, sports fans, this has all the makings of a 1-4 week for Rob, but I'll roll the dice a little and hope to sweep (and dime away on some people who make common mistakes).
The mistakes that the general public always makes that I'm trying to exploit:
-overrating big wins last week, and underrating big losses
-always taking the 'over' with indy, pushing the line higher
-underreacting to personnel issues, especially in the NE game, which is a much tougher match-up than at first blush
-letting the line play them, instead of playing the line