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that's not a guarantee they would all stick around when they were colonized by Tri-Delt or whoever.
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No, but it does indicate that there's a substantial number of interested women who aren't being served by the Panhellenic sororities presently there.
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Girls not receiving bids have nothing to do with houses getting full.
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This is true as far as formal recruitment is concerned, but houses getting full certainly does have to do with bids being unavailable via informal recruitment, and the local members may be women for whom formal was a bad fit.
I completely understand why campus panhellenics control whether a national can come on campus to recruit for a ground-up colonization, but it does seem counterintuitive that where there's a large and growing local that wants to affiliate and an NPC that wants to take them on, the other groups on campus would say no. I mean, the local is going to exist regardless, and it's going to recruit regardless. To whatever extent the existing chapters would be harmed by a one-eighth drop in quota if Zeta joined DDD, aren't they equally harmed by a large local that can recruit PNMs all summer, give them gifts, etc.?