Academics Use Formulas to Predict Bush Win
 

http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.j...toryID=5566580


By Rolando Garcia
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Polls may show the presidential race in a dead heat, but for a small band of academics who use scientific formulas to predict elections President Bush is on his way to a sizable win.

That's the conclusion of a handful of political scientists who, with mixed results, have honed the art of election forecasting by devising elaborate mathematical formulas based on key measures of the nation's economic health and the public's political views.

-Rudey

This is what I've been saying all along. Presidential elections is all about the perception of economic security.

Do these formulas take into account the Kerry campaigns ability to spin positive economic data into negative (and mostly false) statements?