GreekChat.com Forums

GreekChat.com Forums (https://greekchat.com/gcforums/index.php)
-   News & Politics (https://greekchat.com/gcforums/forumdisplay.php?f=207)
-   -   Why Obama Should Not Be the Next President of USA (https://greekchat.com/gcforums/showthread.php?t=93795)

KSig RC 02-21-2008 02:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by skylark (Post 1605157)
I think that the assumptions I make are more based in statistics than others, simply to say that I think college-educated people are more likely than not to read the paper, watch the news instead of wheel of fortune, etc. Sure it isn't a guarantee and surely we have all known people that graduated from college by a miracle against nature.

Well, feel free to show those statistics if you'd like to reference them, but (as we've already discussed) I'm not 100% sure that reading the paper or watching the news gives a deeper level of understanding beyond rhetoric, given Obama's speaking style.

Quote:

Originally Posted by skylark (Post 1605157)
I always find it funny how when you say something on GC, it turns into that you said that something was ALWAYS true, no matter what, under any circumstances, because someone wants to pull your thought down off of the shelf and give it a beating. I think the expression is something like taking down a straw man (or close).

I don't really know what this means (which is probably part of the issue), but if you're referring to the logical fallacy of "setting up a strawman" I don't really think I'm doing that.

I'm claiming that you're making an improper assumption that college grads have an implicitly or explicitly deep understanding of their chosen candidate's politics by nature (or whatever), just like others are improper in assuming Obama's followers are superficial fans of his rhetoric. I don't know if it's "always true" - I assume everyone reads message board posts as opinion pieces barring citation. Maybe that's dumb? No idea, dude.

Quote:

Originally Posted by skylark (Post 1605157)
Anyway, I certainly don't think that a college degree protects you from ignorance, nor do I think that if you are out there without a college degree you can't be one of the smartest thinkers in the country. I think that it is merely an indicator that a person might have more actively engaged brain cells than the average non-college-educated person.

I'm not saying that college-educated people aren't, on the whole, more intelligent - I'm saying that there's a certain threshold for going "deeper" than rhetoric or simply "I like him!" You have clearly passed this threshold yourself, so I think you're assuming others have as well. I don't think there is any evidence that this threshold is set at "college educated."

skylark 02-21-2008 02:17 PM

Quote:

Well, feel free to show those statistics if you'd like to reference them
Your wish is my command Ksig:

In Wisconsin: "College-educated voters, who made up 72 percent of those polled, favored him 58 percent to 40 percent." http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/...iref=hpmostpop

Another article: http://chronicle.com/blogs/election/...llege-educated

And another: http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/n...,3269133.story

God Bless Google News Search.

DSTCHAOS 02-21-2008 02:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by skylark (Post 1605115)
^^ I never said that some don't. I think that the same could be said for any candidate. I just think that the stereotype is fairly inaccurate and there are both specific examples out there and statistics that back it up. I think that there is a huge media push to make people think that Obama support is hallow (and thus dissuade people from supporting him by making them think that they'd be in bad company)... but I have yet to see anything but spin to support that myth.

Yeah...but I'm talking about Obama supporters.

Being an Obama supporter is cool now because change is cool. So everywhere I go and everyone who talks to me is harassing me about Obama. But most of them don't know why they're harassing me.

skylark 02-21-2008 02:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KSig RC (Post 1605189)
I don't really know what this means (which is probably part of the issue), but if you're referring to the logical fallacy of "setting up a strawman" I don't really think I'm doing that.

I'm claiming that you're making an improper assumption that college grads have an implicitly or explicitly deep understanding of their chosen candidate's politics by nature (or whatever), just like others are improper in assuming Obama's followers are superficial fans of his rhetoric. I don't know if it's "always true" - I assume everyone reads message board posts as opinion pieces barring citation. Maybe that's dumb? No idea, dude.

And I'm saying that people on GC often tend to read assumptions and words like "always" into a statement you've made in order to attack the assumption or a more unequivocal statement than the original as a means of taking down a person's argument (which IS an example of the "setting up the strawman" argument... thank you for reminding me of the correct wording after so many years since Intro to Philosophy). I don't think I ever said anything about ALL college grads being one way or another, which is how I took your previous post.

Oh yeah, and I'm not a dude. :p

ETA: Sorry Ksig... I realized now that you weren't the one who was setting up my argument as a strawman. It was DSTC... my other post was responding to her reply to me that some Obama supporters aren't well informed. That's true, but it has nothing to do with the point I was making.

KSig RC 02-21-2008 02:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by skylark (Post 1605201)
Your wish is my command Ksig:

In Wisconsin: "College-educated voters, who made up 72 percent of those polled, favored him 58 percent to 40 percent." http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/...iref=hpmostpop

First off, "dude" is not gender-specific anymore - you should know that, counselor, if you've been reading up on your Gen-X/Y materials. I can ship you some if you send me a billing address. (Note: I'm totally kidding here, and not patronizing, I promise)

Also, I apologize for this, because I kind of set you up - this is why I didn't just hit up Google News myself, as well - but it's fascinating that Obama was favored by college-aged voters by a 58:40 margin . . . since he was favored by all voters at a 58:41 margin.

I know it's popular wisdom that Obama resonates with the educated, but the only solid statistical evidence I've seen shows that Obama's significant advantage is actually among college students (who are also showing up more than ever before). Zogby, IIRC, pushed this whole "college educated" thing a few times, before some serious statistical flaws were identified (full disclosure: I think John Zogby is a douche, and that's based on professional experiences), but I'm not 100% sure it's been shown as consistent.

skylark 02-21-2008 06:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KSig RC (Post 1605223)
but it's fascinating that Obama was favored by college-aged voters by a 58:40 margin . . . since he was favored by all voters at a 58:41 margin.

Very good point (proof how statistics are not as transparent as they seem)! I think that maybe the other articles highlight that it might be more of an educational difference for white voters, although I have to admit that I haven't looked up the original statistics used as bases for those articles. Touche, though.

And I've never been called a dude in real life. Maybe it is supposed to be okay and gender neutral, but "dude" felt as awkward as when someone on here calls me a "he." I'm just as bad, though, because for the longest time I thought MysticCat was a woman and Dionysus was a man (I know, the login name should have been clue #1).

DSTCHAOS 02-21-2008 07:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by skylark (Post 1605204)
ETA: Sorry Ksig... I realized now that you weren't the one who was setting up my argument as a strawman. It was DSTC... my other post was responding to her reply to me that some Obama supporters aren't well informed. That's true, but it has nothing to do with the point I was making.

This was my only point. You just chose to respond and attempted to expound on something that is already clear as day.

bluefish81 02-21-2008 07:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Drolefille (Post 1604979)
Yeah but I'm not an economist so it's a big bunch of not my job to some extent. :p

Though I'd love to see a balanced budget I really don't think anyone could do it these days. Once you feed a bureaucracy money, it only grows bigger and far too many presidents have done so for far too long. Maybe NASA needs to sell more space tourist rides or something. Plus if the federal government stops spending, a lot of states are going to be in trouble. They rely on federal matching funds for nearly all basic functions from education to interstate repair to medicaid/medicare.

It has been that long since we had a balanced budget. Well, 2000.

http://archives.cnn.com/2000/ALLPOLI...inton.surplus/

Drolefille 02-21-2008 09:47 PM

Booming economy vs. our current not quite a recession yet we hope one?

It was also a GOP Congress with a Democratic president meaning nothing that either of them wanted was really getting done. And no war in Afghanistan or Iraq.

Balancing the budget is easy, raise taxes.

shinerbock 02-21-2008 10:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Drolefille (Post 1605538)

Balancing the budget is easy, raise taxes.

Yes, this always pulls up a struggling economy.

MysticCat 02-22-2008 10:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SECdomination (Post 1605771)
So many students here are idealists and don't actually consider what real life is like.

Because most of them -- the idealists and the college Republicans -- haven't really experienced real life yet.

Quote:

It's a good thing that we have such a strong government set up. Even Barack wouldn't be able to run America into the ground in just four years.
Agreed. I mean, Bush has been trying for 8 years, yet the Republic still survives. ;)

Drolefille 02-22-2008 10:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by shinerbock (Post 1605563)
Yes, this always pulls up a struggling economy.

It wasn't meant to. The concept of "balancing the budget" is taking in more than you spend (none of this addresses the national debt of course). It's just the opposite of losing weight which is taking in less than you burn off.

Theoretically both are simple, in reality they're not that easy.

preciousjeni 02-22-2008 11:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MysticCat (Post 1605810)
Agreed. I mean, Bush has been trying for 8 years, yet the Republic still survives. ;)

LOL!

MysticCat 02-22-2008 12:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SECdomination (Post 1605861)
I guess I set myself (and poor George!) up for that one...

Yeah, you really did . . . it was just too easy. :D

Quote:

And I'd agree that most college students- republicans too - haven't experienced real life yet. I still live off my parents, but at least I have some sense of practicality.
I imagine you do, and I would guess that lots of college students do. I think I did in college. But even with some understanding of real life gleaned from parents and limited experience, it's just different when you get out and have to make it on your own.

nittanyalum 02-23-2008 02:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Drolefille (Post 1605824)
It wasn't meant to. The concept of "balancing the budget" is taking in more than you spend (none of this addresses the national debt of course). It's just the opposite of losing weight which is taking in less than you burn off.

Theoretically both are simple, in reality they're not that easy.

I just read this article and the last line in it reminded me of your post (to paraphrase, the math is easy, the politics are hard). Frankly, just the size numbers we're talking about gives me a headache. http://money.cnn.com/2008/02/22/news...ey_mostpopular

The 44th president's $4 trillion headache
The candidates want to do things like reduce taxes and fix health care. But they'll have to deal with the cold realities of the federal budget.

By Jeanne Sahadi, CNNMoney.com senior writer
February 22 2008: 3:07 PM EST

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The presidential candidates all have big plans for their time in the White House. Reform health care. Reduce taxes. Close corporate loopholes. Encourage savings. The list goes on.

Like college graduates whose career choices may be limited by their student loan debt, however, the next president could be constrained by the federal budget. ... whole story at link above ...

KSig RC 02-23-2008 03:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Drolefille (Post 1605824)
It wasn't meant to. The concept of "balancing the budget" is taking in more than you spend (none of this addresses the national debt of course). It's just the opposite of losing weight which is taking in less than you burn off.

Theoretically both are simple, in reality they're not that easy.

This doesn't make any sense - if you balance the budget, you are indeed "addressing the national debt" because the surplus can go toward recouping debt. I don't see how these can be severed.

Obviously there are dozens of factors at work, such as trade/inflationary benefits to staying a debtor, the dangers of China pegging its currency to the dollar, whatever - but that doesn't change the fundamental nature of math. Having a surplus -> lowering debt.

I have no idea why you're being so dismissive here - budget concerns seem perfectly valid, given the litany of new programs on both the Obama and Clinton platforms and the state of the economy.

Drolefille 02-23-2008 10:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KSig RC (Post 1606363)
This doesn't make any sense - if you balance the budget, you are indeed "addressing the national debt" because the surplus can go toward recouping debt. I don't see how these can be severed.

Obviously there are dozens of factors at work, such as trade/inflationary benefits to staying a debtor, the dangers of China pegging its currency to the dollar, whatever - but that doesn't change the fundamental nature of math. Having a surplus -> lowering debt.

I have no idea why you're being so dismissive here - budget concerns seem perfectly valid, given the litany of new programs on both the Obama and Clinton platforms and the state of the economy.

I'm talking the difficulty both politically and economically of juggling a struggling economy (which was the part where "it wasn't meant to" was aimed), the needs of those below the poverty line, the needs of the middle class that, even if they're not buying everything on credit, is struggling to make it from paycheck to paycheck, and the wants of those who don't "need" anything anymore.

Any budget surplus we might have from actually balancing the budget will not make a dent in the national debt. The budget surpluses of the past have been saved for other things, not spent on paying down our principal.

Budget concerns are completely valid, and if the plans that any of the candidates, including McCain since he's not really appearing to be a fiscal conservative, are completely impossible based on the money, they won't happen. That will sort itself out and either party is likely to put us in greater debt, not less. As complex as the government is, it takes an economist who's studied it for a length of time to actually address whether things will save or cost money in the long run. I could posit that a national health care system, one that focuses on prevention, will actually save money in the long run due to the lack of the uninsured coming in to the ER instead of a doctor's office. But I don't know that one way or the other so I'm not really going to guess.

To balance the budget we could tax everyone more, but most people do not want that. Even though that's the very simple answer.

BabyPiNK_FL 02-24-2008 03:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by shinerbock (Post 1604695)

This made my day! Can I just say how much I love this! :D (I know it's kinda old but...)


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 10:16 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.